Here is the current ranking of the entries at the Eurovision Song Contest 2022 in Turin, Italy according to the winner betting odds from several betting sites (list below). Accurate as of March 20th, 2022.
The average represents the average of the odds from several different bookmakers. The implied probability is essentially the inverse of the average odds and is an overestimation of the current chances of an entry to win. Summing up all the implied probabilities and taking the ratio of the implied probability of each entry to the total implied probability we get the Success Probability which is a more accurate sign of what the bookmakers feel like each entry’s winning chances are. The order of the entries on sites for comparing odds might differ slightly, as an entry’s position is also affected about whether its odds are drifting or shortening and some are only ranking entries by their lowest odds.
The betting odds are merely a prediction by the bookies that take into account several factors to estimate the probability of an entry to win the contest. They are hence constantly changing based on new information about the entries.
What do you think about the odds this year? Let me know in the comment section and don’t forget to subscribe!
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Eurovision 2022 Participants
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Albania – Ronela Hajati | Sekret
Armenia – Rosa Linn | Snap
Australia – Sheldon Riley | Not the Same
Austria – Lum!x & Pia Maria | Halo
Azerbaijan – Nadir Rüstəmli
Belgium – Jérémie Makiese | Miss You
Bulgaria – Intelligent Music Project | Intention
Croatia – Mia Dimšić | Guilty Pleasure
Cyprus – Andromache | Ela
Czech Republic – We Are Domi | Lights Off
Denmark – Reddi | The Show
Estonia – Stefan | Hope
Finland – The Rasmus | Jezebel
France – Alvan & Ahez | Fulenn
Germany – Malik Harris | Rockstars
Greece – Amanda Tenfjord | Die Together
Iceland – Sigga, Beta & Elín | Með hækkandi sól
Ireland – Brooke Scullion | That’s Rich
Israel – Michael Ben David | I.M
Italy – Mahmood & Blanco | Brividi
Latvia – Citi Zēni | Eat Your Salad
Lithuania – Monika Liu | Sentimentai
Malta – Emma Muscat | I Am Wat I Am
Moldova – Zdob și Zdub and Frații Advahov | Trenulețul
Montenegro – Vladana | Breathe
Netherlands – S10 | De diepte
Norway – Subwoolfer | Give That Wolf a Banana
Poland – Krystian Ochman | River
Portugal – Maro | Saudade, saudade
Romania – WRS | Llámame
San Marino – Achille Lauro | Stripper
Serbia – Konstrakta | In corpore sano
Spain – Chanel | SloMo
Sweden – Cornelia Jakobs | Hold Me Closer
Switzerland – Marius Bear | Boys Do Cry
Ukraine – Kalush Orchestra | Stefania
United Kingdom – Sam Ryder | Space Man
Intro song: Armenia 2006 – André | Without Your Love
Outro song: Switzerland 2007 – DJ BoBo | Vampires Are Alive
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Bookmakers used for the average:
10Bet
888sport
Bet Stars
Bet Victor
Bet365
Betfair
Betfair exchange
Betfred
Betsson
Boyle Sports
BWin
ComeOn
Cool Bet
Paddy Power
Parimatch
SBK
Smarkets
Sport Nation
Sporting Index
Unibet
William Hill
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